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What makes term premium rise?

Term premium can rise when uncertainty about inflation, fiscal supply, future rates or bond-market volatility increases and investors demand more compensation for duration.

SHORT ANSWER

The core idea

Term premium can rise when uncertainty about inflation, fiscal supply, future rates or bond-market volatility increases and investors demand more compensation for duration.

THE MECHANISM

What is happening underneath

Reduced central-bank demand or greater net issuance can also contribute.

MARKET INTERPRETATION

How investors should read it

Because term premium is estimated rather than directly observed, different models can produce different levels.

BONDSTATS TAKEAWAY

The same market move can carry different information depending on which maturity, issuer and risk premium is changing. Read the question together with the underlying concepts rather than treating one price move as a universal signal.

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