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YIELD CURVE

Term Premium

Decomposes a long yield conceptually into expected policy-rate path and compensation for duration risk.

Formula

Long yield ≈ Expected average short rates + Term premium

Variables: Long yield; expected future short rates

What it means

Decomposes a long yield conceptually into expected policy-rate path and compensation for duration risk.

Example

If a model estimates expected average short rates at 3% and the 10-year yield is 3.7%, the residual term premium is about 0.7 percentage points.

How to interpret it

This concept should be read together with its market convention, measurement horizon and underlying instrument. BondStats presents it as an analytical reference rather than investment advice; instrument documentation and primary market rules remain authoritative.

BondStats reference content is independently written. Mathematical relationships, abbreviations and market conventions are presented for educational and analytical use.