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Value at Risk

Estimates a loss threshold exceeded with a specified probability under the chosen model.

Formula

VaR_α = loss quantile at confidence α

Variables: Loss distribution; confidence level; horizon

What it means

Estimates a loss threshold exceeded with a specified probability under the chosen model.

Example

A one-day 99% VaR of 1m means the model places 1% of days beyond a 1m loss threshold; it is not a maximum loss.

How to interpret it

This concept should be read together with its market convention, measurement horizon and underlying instrument. BondStats presents it as an analytical reference rather than investment advice; instrument documentation and primary market rules remain authoritative.

BondStats reference content is independently written. Mathematical relationships, abbreviations and market conventions are presented for educational and analytical use.