BONDSTATS / CHINA CREDIT INTELLIGENCE
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PBOC · AFRE · CREDIT TRANSMISSION

China’s credit cycle,
mapped through transmission.

Track how financing moves from aggregate credit creation into bank loans, corporate borrowing, household demand and bond-market funding. Official PBOC observations remain separate from BondStats analytical signals.

AFRE STOCK GROWTH
RMB LOAN GROWTH
M2 GROWTH
M1 GROWTH
AFRE MOMENTUM
vs same period a year earlier

Credit-growth path

year-on-year growth · official PBOC
AFRE broad financing stockRMB loans bank-credit stockM2 broad moneyM1 transaction money

Cycle diagnostics

BondStats derived
AFRE − loan growth spreadPositive values indicate broader financing is growing faster than bank loans.
M1 − M2 activation gapA deeply negative gap can signal money growth without equivalent transaction-money acceleration.
AFRE growth momentumChange in the latest year-on-year AFRE stock growth rate versus the prior report.
Corporate MLT shareMedium- and long-term corporate lending as a share of cumulative corporate loans.

Credit transmission map

latest cumulative official observations
BROAD FINANCING

Aggregate financing to the real economy across bank credit, bonds, equity and selected off-balance-sheet channels.

BANK CREDIT

Total RMB loan increase, providing the core banking-system credit channel.

CORPORATE CREDIT

Loans to enterprises and public institutions, including medium- and long-term investment-oriented credit.

HOUSEHOLD CREDIT

Household borrowing provides a read on consumer and housing-related credit demand.

Financing mix

RMB tn · cumulative

Source integrity

official release monitor
People’s Bank of China · Financial Statistics ReportsSOURCE ↗

Methodology

signal ≠ official classification

The BondStats score is an analytical layer built from official PBOC statistics. It is not the PBOC’s own classification and it is not the academic credit-impulse measure.