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THE DAILY BRIEF

2-year move leads the Treasury session; 10-year ends at 3.95%

US Treasury close for 2024-01-02: 2Y 4.33%, 10Y 3.95%, 30Y 4.08%; 2s10s -38 bp. Market data and edition dates are shown separately.

PRIMARY SOURCE VERIFIED2 MIN READUS TREASURY · 2024-01-02

Leadership came from the 2-year point, where the yield rose 10.0 bp. Ten-year yields finished at 3.95%, up 7.0 bp from the previous official observation.

Rates in context

At the policy-sensitive end, the 2-year closed at 4.33% (+10.0 bp). Five-year yields ended at 3.93% (+9.0 bp), while the 30-year finished at 4.08% (+5.0 bp).

Curve structure

A negative -38.0 bp 2s10s spread left the curve flatter by 3.0 bp. The 5s30s spread stood at 15.0 bp, a 4.0 bp narrowing, while 1s10s finished at -85.0 bp.

Market lens

Front-end repricing was stronger than the long-end move. That makes the session more sensitive to the path of near-term rates than a simple reading of the 10-year headline suggests.

RATES TRANSMISSIONYIELDS → CURVE SHAPE → DURATION → FUNDING CONDITIONS → CREDIT

Read left to right as a transmission map, not as a claim that every link has already occurred. Each step requires its own evidence.

Evidence rule

BondStats computes these comparisons from official US Treasury daily par yield-curve observations. They are indicative par yields, not transaction prices. Causal claims are deliberately excluded unless a separate primary source establishes them.

EVIDENCE CHECK
01

Fact anchored to U.S. Department of the Treasury.

02

Interpretation kept separate from the release.

03

Confirmation requires subsequent market or primary-source evidence.

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