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BONDSTATS DAILY · MARKET CLOSE
THE DAILY BRIEF

US rates close with the 10-year at 4.44%

US Treasury close for 2026-06-30: 2Y 4.14%, 10Y 4.44%, 30Y 4.91%; 2s10s 30 bp. Market data and edition dates are shown separately.

PRIMARY SOURCE VERIFIED2 MIN READUS TREASURY · 2026-06-30

No maturity dominated the session; the more useful read comes from the relationship between the front end, belly and long end. Ten-year yields finished at 4.44%, up 6.0 bp from the previous official observation.

Rates in context

At the policy-sensitive end, the 2-year closed at 4.14% (+4.0 bp). Five-year yields ended at 4.19% (+5.0 bp), while the 30-year finished at 4.91% (+5.0 bp).

Curve structure

A positive 30.0 bp 2s10s spread left the curve steeper by 2.0 bp. The 5s30s spread stood at 72.0 bp, a 0.0 bp narrowing, while 1s10s finished at 46.0 bp.

Market lens

No single maturity dominated enough to call this a one-factor move. More information sits in the cross-curve comparison rather than in attaching a narrative to one benchmark.

RATES TRANSMISSIONYIELDS → CURVE SHAPE → DURATION → FUNDING CONDITIONS → CREDIT

Read left to right as a transmission map, not as a claim that every link has already occurred. Each step requires its own evidence.

Evidence rule

BondStats computes these comparisons from official US Treasury daily par yield-curve observations. They are indicative par yields, not transaction prices. Causal claims are deliberately excluded unless a separate primary source establishes them.

EVIDENCE CHECK
01

Fact anchored to U.S. Department of the Treasury.

02

Interpretation kept separate from the release.

03

Confirmation requires subsequent market or primary-source evidence.

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