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BONDSTATS DAILY · MARKET CLOSE
THE DAILY BRIEF

Treasury yields finish little changed; 10-year ends at 5.09%

US Treasury close for 2026-10-16: 2Y 4.74%, 10Y 5.09%, 30Y 5.43%; 2s10s 35 bp. Market data and edition dates are shown separately.

Outright moves were contained across the main benchmarks, leaving curve shape as the cleaner signal. The 10-year finished at 5.09%, down 1.0 bp from the previous official observation.

Rates in context

At the policy-sensitive end, the 2-year closed at 4.74% (-3.0 bp). Five-year yields ended at 4.89% (-2.0 bp), while the 30-year finished at 5.43% (0.0 bp).

The curve beneath the headline

A positive 35.0 bp 2s10s spread left the curve steeper by 2.0 bp. The 5s30s spread stood at 54.0 bp, a 2.0 bp widening, while 1s10s finished at 63.0 bp.

What BondStats is watching

Front-end repricing was stronger than the long-end move. That makes the session more sensitive to the path of near-term rates than a simple reading of the 10-year headline suggests.

Evidence rule

BondStats computes these comparisons from official US Treasury daily par yield-curve observations. They are indicative par yields, not transaction prices. Causal claims are deliberately excluded unless a separate primary source establishes them.

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