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BONDSTATS DAILY · MARKET CLOSE
THE DAILY BRIEF

Treasury yields finish little changed; 10-year ends at 5.13%

US Treasury close for 2026-10-21: 2Y 4.81%, 10Y 5.13%, 30Y 5.42%; 2s10s 32 bp. Market data and edition dates are shown separately.

Outright moves were contained across the main benchmarks, leaving curve shape as the cleaner signal. The 10-year finished at 5.13%, up 1.0 bp from the previous official observation.

Rates in context

At the policy-sensitive end, the 2-year closed at 4.81% (+2.0 bp). Five-year yields ended at 4.95% (+1.0 bp), while the 30-year finished at 5.42% (0.0 bp).

The curve beneath the headline

A positive 32.0 bp 2s10s spread left the curve flatter by 1.0 bp. The 5s30s spread stood at 47.0 bp, a 1.0 bp narrowing, while 1s10s finished at 61.0 bp.

What BondStats is watching

No single maturity dominated enough to call this a one-factor move. The useful information is in the cross-curve comparison rather than in attaching a narrative to one benchmark.

Evidence rule

BondStats computes these comparisons from official US Treasury daily par yield-curve observations. They are indicative par yields, not transaction prices. Causal claims are deliberately excluded unless a separate primary source establishes them.

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